If you want to predict basketball game outcomes better, you’re not alone. This year alone, an estimated 45 million Americans placed bets on the NCAA Men’s Division tournament (also known as March Madness), which shows just how popular basketball betting has become.
However, is it possible to separate yourself from the rest of the pack by making better predictions and potentially winning more bets? The simple answer is ‘yes!’ – you might be able to do so.
It’s hard to believe, but you don’t need to be a math magician or data analyst to predict the outcome of a basketball game. Instead, simply follow the tips and tricks below.
1. Use a Sports Betting Model
Your number one priority should be to use a sports betting model, such as shotqualitybets.com. In simple terms, asports betting model is an analytic system that uses predictive data. This data then allows you (the person with the money) to place smarter bets on the outcome of different games – although, like with anything, results aren’t guaranteed since data isn’t absolute and anything can happen!
During this time, you can dive into a ton of metrics, from player to team statistics. Over time, you’ll gradually become a sports betting expert without having to do all the complex work yourself. It’s a no-brainer.
2. Watch the Games with Your Own Eyes
It’s generally advised that you only bet on games that you watch with your own eyes. The reason for this is thatscoreline and score updates can often be deceiving. A team can appear to be winning comfortably when (in reality) they’re actually not playing very well.
For example, the LA Lakers might play terribly in the first quarter but somehow be leading on points. However, you wouldn’t necessarily know they were playing poorly unless you were watching the game yourself.
To watch NBA games, ABC and ESPN are very reliable. You can also buy an NBA League Pass if you’d prefer this option.
3. Keep Up-to-Date with Injuries
Injuries are a big part of basketball and the NBA. Between the 2015 and 2020 NBA seasons, there was a total of 4,346 injuries sustained by NBA Players.
Injuries have been known to impact a ton of different in-game factors, with fatigue being one of them. This is why it’s so important to track and keep up-to-date with injuries before betting on teams and individual players.
For example, if Steph Curry returns from a long injury, he’s unlikely to have a 40-point game. In this instance, you’d be silly to bet on him scoring anything about 20 points.
4. Track Player Form
In addition to injuries, it’s also key that you track player form. Basketball is a team game – everybody knows this. However, the form of one individual player on either team can drastically sway the outcome of a game.
By tracking player form, from free throws to true shooting percentages, you can gain a clear understanding of their current season form and whether they’re likely to have a good game. The above-mentioned sports betting model can also help you with this.
Use these tips and tricks if you want to better predict basketball game outcomes. Whether you’re a complete beginner or an NBA fan veteran, you’ll be sure to find them useful. Good luck!